Common futures research tools… critiquing impacts of change.
Cross-impact matrices: structured, rated comparison of impacts against each other.
- Spurious mathematicization; linear.
Futures wheels: brainstorming primary, secondary, tertiary impacts.
- Disorganized; gaps in impact generation; doesn’t account for time differences.
Causal layered analysis: interpretation of social texts, symbols, myths re: change.
- Subjective, culturally bound, subtle.